{"id":13854,"date":"2026-06-16T10:15:15","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T03:15:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infinitysport.asia\/news\/?p=13854"},"modified":"2026-06-16T10:15:17","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T03:15:17","slug":"for-countries-contesting-the-fifa-world-cup-size-doesnt-always-mean-goals-and-glory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infinitysport.asia\/news\/for-countries-contesting-the-fifa-world-cup-size-doesnt-always-mean-goals-and-glory\/","title":{"rendered":"For countries contesting the FIFA World Cup, size doesn\u2019t always mean goals and\u00a0glory"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/741472\/original\/file-20260612-69-jj39lb.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;rect=0%2C251%2C5590%2C3144&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.co.nz\/detail\/news-photo\/this-view-shows-the-mexican-and-south-african-flags-during-news-photo\/2280423826\"><em>Rodrigo Oropeza\/Getty Images<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">The planet\u2019s biggest sporting event \u2013 the FIFA Men\u2019s World Cup \u2013 is now underway, drawing a television audience of billions and a stadium audience of millions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">There\u2019s no shortage of other impressive statistics to illustrate the scale of the tournament\u2019s 23rd edition. A record 48 teams have begun playing 108 matches across 16 venues in three North American countries, competing for a record prize pool of nearly US$900 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">For demographers, a look at the competing countries also offers a snapshot of a world undergoing profound change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">And it raises an intriguing question: how much do factors such as a country\u2019s population size and age alone weigh on chances of success?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why size isn\u2019t everything<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">The spread of countries represented this year is remarkable, as is the age range of talent taking to the field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Portugal\u2019s Cristiano Ronaldo is still competing at 41, while Spain\u2019s 18-year-old Lamine Yamal arrives as one of the game\u2019s brightest young stars after helping his country win the European Championship in 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-datawrapper wp-block-embed-datawrapper\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" title=\"Squad age profiles at FIFA World Cup 2026\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/94flR\/10\/#?secret=321j2PzIyu\" data-secret=\"321j2PzIyu\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"1058\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">C\u00f4te d&#8217;Ivoire has brought the youngest squad, with a median age of 25.4, while Iran fields the oldest at 31.3. Those figures might mirror trends at home: C\u00f4te d&#8217;Ivoire\u2019s median population age is just 18.1 years, compared with 34.3 in Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Still, the relationship between a country\u2019s football team and the age of its population isn\u2019t always straightforward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Japan has the oldest population of any nation at the tournament, with a median age of 49, while its squad \u2013 widely regarded as one of the strongest in Asia \u2013 has a median age of just 27.4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">That puts it within a statistical sweet spot in the tournament\u2019s history: the optimum average age for a world cup finalist has been cited at between 26 and 28.5 years old.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-datawrapper wp-block-embed-datawrapper\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" title=\"Squad median age vs national median age (2023)\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/QrnyH\/9\/#?secret=dicLxXeGDX\" data-secret=\"dicLxXeGDX\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"1066\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Population size might also seem like an obvious advantage at a world cup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">More people should mean a larger talent pool to draw from and, indeed, one recent analysis suggested this to be a top predictor for world cup qualification.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Brazil would certainly fit this theory. Home to more than 211 million people, it is the second most populous nation at the tournament and its most successful, with five world cup titles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">At the same time, size can\u2019t ensure victory. The world\u2019s two most populous nations, China and India, have never qualified for a men\u2019s world cup finals, while the United States has reached only one semi-final despite its population exceeding 340 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">The same statistical models that highlight the power of population also reveal glaring anomalies. Italy, boasting a massive reserve of talent, failed to make the cut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-datawrapper wp-block-embed-datawrapper\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" title=\"Population of World Cup 2026 nations (2023)\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/zFa0g\/8\/#?secret=fyZbcqXiQc\" data-secret=\"fyZbcqXiQc\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"1310\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Then there are those small nations that seemingly punch above their demographic weight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Cura\u00e7ao, with a population of just 185,000, is the smallest nation ever to qualify for a world cup. Every member of its squad plays professionally overseas \u2013 many in the Netherlands \u2013 illustrating how football talent can be developed far beyond a country\u2019s borders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Another stand-out is Uruguay. With a population of just 3.4 million, the South American nation has won the world cup twice and remains one of the sport\u2019s great overachievers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Population may help produce football talent, but the world cup suggests other factors have an important part to play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Demographics and dividends<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">As recent analyses have suggested, wealth, coaching systems and long-established football cultures can be just as important as the size of a country\u2019s player talent pool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">The same principle applies away from sport. Demographers have long argued that a country\u2019s prospects can be influenced not just by how many people it has, but by the age structure of its population and how effectively it develops its human capital.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Many of the tournament\u2019s countries with younger populations \u2013 particularly across Africa, Asia and the Pacific \u2013 have growing workforces and a large share of young people entering adulthood.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Economists refer to the opportunities created by a relatively large working-age population as the \u201cdemographic dividend\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Migration is also becoming increasingly important. Across much of Europe, immigration now accounts for a significant share of population growth, helping offset labour shortages and population ageing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">The world cup reflects this reality, with many national teams drawing on players whose family histories span multiple countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">But neither a youthful population, strong migration nor sheer population size guarantees success \u2013 whether on or off the pitch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">The key, if this world cup offers countries any lesson in demography, is investment in people.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\"><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/jesse-whitehead-1236377\">Jesse Whitehead<\/a>, Senior research fellow, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-waikato-781\">University of Waikato<\/a><\/em> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/sughayshinie-samba-sibam-2707697\">Sughayshinie Samba Sibam<\/a>, Senior Research Officer, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-waikato-781\">University of Waikato<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/for-countries-contesting-the-fifa-world-cup-size-doesnt-always-mean-goals-and-glory-285150\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The planet\u2019s biggest sporting event \u2013 the FIFA Men\u2019s World Cup \u2013 is now underway, drawing a television<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44],"tags":[276,431],"class_list":["post-13854","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-international","tag-fifa","tag-world-cup"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.8 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The planet\u2019s biggest sporting event \u2013 the FIFA Men\u2019s World Cup \u2013 is now underway, drawing a television audience of billions and a stadium audience of millions. 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